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Tuesday, January 31, 2006

end of the road for sahara

the sahara group is divesting its non core business like avaiation, entertainment , real estate inorder to retain its core business - a ponzi scheme. the consulting company madanated to do the stuff uses terms terms like restructing or divesting, while i would have preffered a plain term "sale". i wonder what is the reason for the sudden change in business strategy - may be something like not enough cash being raised to pay back existing depostors?

all ponzi schemes like to keep the appearence of a healthy business until they bust. i guess the same is with Sahara - sponsoring the indian cricket or offering jobs in the group to all those from sahar airlines who dont want to join jet -

i guess the end is near for the group and it hope it doesnt lead to social chaos in many north indian states.

5 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

thanks for the alarm bells!
i never thought of these developments from thins angle.

do you have any numbers to putthis into perspective?

pravin

10:18 AM  
Blogger tvm said...

hi pravin,
thanks for being here.
they sell an airlines for $500 million and buy an cricket sponsorship for $100 million. thw whole activity seems to me as a attemt to show everything is going on smooth

12:55 AM  
Blogger John Samuel Raja said...

i think the purchase price for Air Sahara was without the liabilities. So, $500 million is not the net selling price for Sahara group. any idea of the size of Air Sahara's liabilities?

10:54 AM  
Blogger tvm said...

yep, $500 doesnt include liabilities. i dont know what the debt is. but i think there is no economic reason for jet to buy sahara. what i write next can be easily termed highly irresponsible but i think what happened is jet shareholders paid $500 million to the sahara group and the promoter of jet must have got some amount say $150 millon deposited in some swiss a/c and some politicians $100 million and Sahara must have got a little more than what is acually worth. i know these are irresonsible comments but this is the only logical reason how the deal could go through.

3:13 PM  
Blogger John Samuel Raja said...

hey tvm alias anonymous,
did u read a recent story of RBI special audit in the first quarter of next year (March-June). They are asking Sahara Finance to bring back its investments into its book by that time.
If you look at policy changes, they have reduced discretionary investments from 20% to nil in less than two years. Don't you think, it is too short a period to adjust.

9:45 AM  

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